After attending the Northeast Conference on Science and Skepticism, I’ve found myself thinking more about the “Why is it So Difficult to Be a Skeptic?” segment, and the part about explaining skepticism to others. And I thought I’d write some of those thoughts down.
At the core, it falls into an explanation of skepticism proffered at the conference: a skeptic is someone who considers the evidence before making a decision or believing something. That points to no particular ideology, no specific political party, and no predetermined point of view. A skeptic can be left-leaning, right-leaning, or straight down the middle. A skeptic can be a Democrat, a Republican, or a Libertarian. A skeptic can be an atheist, or a skeptic can believe in God — but the skeptic makes that choice after considering the evidence.
It’s certainly true that skeptics strongly lean toward atheism, and tend to be more left than right politically. I would say that the tendency is because that’s where the evidence leads, rather than any other reasons. Of course, everyone starts with some set of world views, and a skeptic is no different. The skeptic adjusts his world view as he analyzes the input.
When someone comes forth and says, “I have a new cure for diseases,” the skeptic does not say, “Bullshit!”, though that may be the image many people have of us. No, the skeptic says, “Do you? Show me,” and then the skeptic looks at what’s there. “A friend of mine says it worked for him,” might get a response of, “Mm, hm. What else?” Data from a controlled trial will wield more power, and may elicit a nod, and an “Ah, good!”
We will, naturally, compare what you’re offering with things we already know, and that’s where it might look like we’ve decided in advance. We haven’t, though: we’re just noting that your idea is very much like something the evidence has already shown to be wrong, so it will be that much more difficult to convince us — you have to get past the evidence that’s already there. A new homeopathic “cure” that’s substantially the same as all the others isn’t really new.
We’ll also bring in what we know in general, and use it as part of our skeptical analysis. If we can see how your idea might work, we could start with a more positive view of it than we’d have if the idea doesn’t seem to make sense with respect to what we know about medicine or mechanics or physics, or whatever. If you approach me with a perpetual motion machine, you’ll have a steep hill to climb to convince me that it works, because I know something about, say, the combined effects of conservation of energy and friction.
When someone says that the positions of the moon, stars, and planets at the time of one’s birth determines significant things about one’s life and personality, the skeptic does not say, “Bullshit!” — not the first time. The skeptic looks at the evidence. And evidence shows that astrology does not work.[1]
A skeptic will look for alternative explanations that fit the evidence. If we know that someone moved from one place to another without leaving tracks in the sand, one explanation may be that she flew. But that doesn’t mesh with what we know of how things work. Is there an alternative explanation? Perhaps wind took away the tracks. And if we have no explanation that’s both consistent with what we already know and explains what we’re seeing, we’re willing to accept that we don’t know the answer. If it’s important enough, we’ll keep looking until we find an answer that works.
Skepticism doesn’t only apply to things that are “fun” to deride. We’re not just skeptical of alternative medicine, paranormal activity, and pseudoscience. When someone says that human activity is causing damaging global climate change, we have three things to be skeptical of:
- The global climate is changing.
- Humans are causing it (or making it worse).
- It’s damaging.
We don’t say, “Bullshit!”, and we don’t say, “It’s a scientist saying it, so it must be true.” We look at the evidence. As I see the evidence, it says “yes” to all three points above. So I accept it, but, as a skeptic, only after examining the data.
But we know better than to reject anything new out of hand, without examining the evidence. After all, at one point Louis Pasteur said, “I have a new cure for diseases,” didn’t he? And then he showed them to work.
Evidence.
[1]There are a number of studies showing that astrology has no predictive value, and that any effects appear to come from confirmation bias. For example, there’s a study published in “Nature” in 1985. Unfortunately, it’s behind a paywall, but it’s worth a read if you can find someone with a subscription, or if you’re willing to pay for the article (I have a printed copy).
Skeptics tend to be on the left side? And they choose that because that’s were the evidence points to? I would love to see the evidence for both of these (specially for the second one). Also, I think many prominent skeptics like Michael Shermer would disagree.
I believe you must be ideologically to the left and are letting that to reach your conclusions, rather than the evidence.
Other than that, nice article.
Benny
‘s truth: I’m generalizing. The skeptics I know are mostly left-leaning. But, of course, I don’t hang with a statistically varied set of folk.
See? Even when we try not to, it’s very compelling to jump to conclusions.
Meine Schuld.
I’m more concerned with the second part though, when you say that skeptics are liberal “because that’s where the evidence point to”. Does that mean that the evidence points to liberalism being the truth?
Include more context. I said, “I would say that the tendency is because that’s where the evidence leads’=. My thesis is that skeptics choose based on evidence, and I’m suggesting that we’ve taken our socio-political views after considering evidence as well. You might disagree with that, of course.
In this context, “evidence” is clearly less concrete than for medicine or science. It might be observations about what makes society run better, what makes people happier, what makes for a better economy, and so on. Some of these are more measurable than others, so some of the evidence is firmer. We can look at how this or that affects the economy. We can look at evidence of whether, say, the PATRIOT Act or No Child Left Behind have been successes. We can consider the evidence about President Obama’s place of birth. In considering whether to spend money to widen a road or improve an intersection, we can look at accident statistics.
You may, perhaps, see owning guns as improving freedom and happiness, citing numbers of gun owners and data about recreational gun use. I may see it as contributing to statistics of gun accidents and crime, citing those data. Different analysis of the evidence.
Politics is not a science, so it cannot be measured against evidence. How do you measure whether the patriot act has been a success or not? And even if you could, does it justify the rights that have been taken away from people?
I disagree with your thesis that people take their socio-political views after considering evidence. People are emotional about these things. I don’t believe there is evidence for your thesis. Besides, half the people in this country are conservative and the other half liberal, what does that mean?